The Lab

League analytics.

Completed-season ratings, schedule context, and scoring performance.

Lineup efficiency · 2018–2025. Values appear only where exact starter scoring reconciles; earlier seasons keep their verified results without an estimated grade.

Composite view

The dynasty board

Career success and ELO for active managers by default.

Dynasty Rating

Metric guide

Dynasty Rating

What it means

A 100-point career score built from titles, win rate, playoff appearances, seasons played, and historical ELO.

How to read it

Higher rewards sustained success.

Methodology detail

Titles × 18, win percentage × 35, playoff appearances × 3, seasons × 1.2, plus one point for each ten ELO points above 1400; capped at 100.

ELO (scaled)

Metric guide

ELO (scaled)

What it means

Historical ELO scaled to 0–100 so it can be compared visually with Dynasty Rating.

How to read it

It is a chart scale, not a separate rating. Raw ELO is unchanged.

Methodology detail

The chart displays (ELO − 1300) ÷ 4, clamped to 0–100.

  • Dynasty Rating
  • Historical ELO

Brandon C.

Rank 1 in this view

100.0

Dynasty Rating

1584

Raw historical ELO

Dynasty Rating

Metric guide

Dynasty Rating

What it means

A 100-point career score built from titles, win rate, playoff appearances, seasons played, and historical ELO.

How to read it

Higher rewards sustained success.

Methodology detail

Titles × 18, win percentage × 35, playoff appearances × 3, seasons × 1.2, plus one point for each ten ELO points above 1400; capped at 100.

ELO

Metric guide

ELO

What it means

A power rating that updates after every completed matchup. Beating a higher-rated manager helps more.

How to read it

Higher is better. It uses completed league history only.

Methodology detail

Every manager starts at 1500. Ratings update chronologically with a K-factor of 24 and a 400-point logistic expectation; margin of victory does not affect the result.

Open manager career

Sam D.

Rank 2 in this view

100.0

Dynasty Rating

1628

Raw historical ELO

Dynasty Rating

Metric guide

Dynasty Rating

What it means

A 100-point career score built from titles, win rate, playoff appearances, seasons played, and historical ELO.

How to read it

Higher rewards sustained success.

Methodology detail

Titles × 18, win percentage × 35, playoff appearances × 3, seasons × 1.2, plus one point for each ten ELO points above 1400; capped at 100.

ELO

Metric guide

ELO

What it means

A power rating that updates after every completed matchup. Beating a higher-rated manager helps more.

How to read it

Higher is better. It uses completed league history only.

Methodology detail

Every manager starts at 1500. Ratings update chronologically with a K-factor of 24 and a 400-point logistic expectation; margin of victory does not affect the result.

Open manager career

Chris W.

Rank 3 in this view

99.3

Dynasty Rating

1457

Raw historical ELO

Dynasty Rating

Metric guide

Dynasty Rating

What it means

A 100-point career score built from titles, win rate, playoff appearances, seasons played, and historical ELO.

How to read it

Higher rewards sustained success.

Methodology detail

Titles × 18, win percentage × 35, playoff appearances × 3, seasons × 1.2, plus one point for each ten ELO points above 1400; capped at 100.

ELO

Metric guide

ELO

What it means

A power rating that updates after every completed matchup. Beating a higher-rated manager helps more.

How to read it

Higher is better. It uses completed league history only.

Methodology detail

Every manager starts at 1500. Ratings update chronologically with a K-factor of 24 and a 400-point logistic expectation; margin of victory does not affect the result.

Open manager career

Mac C.

Rank 4 in this view

85.8

Dynasty Rating

1572

Raw historical ELO

Dynasty Rating

Metric guide

Dynasty Rating

What it means

A 100-point career score built from titles, win rate, playoff appearances, seasons played, and historical ELO.

How to read it

Higher rewards sustained success.

Methodology detail

Titles × 18, win percentage × 35, playoff appearances × 3, seasons × 1.2, plus one point for each ten ELO points above 1400; capped at 100.

ELO

Metric guide

ELO

What it means

A power rating that updates after every completed matchup. Beating a higher-rated manager helps more.

How to read it

Higher is better. It uses completed league history only.

Methodology detail

Every manager starts at 1500. Ratings update chronologically with a K-factor of 24 and a 400-point logistic expectation; margin of victory does not affect the result.

Open manager career

Jeff Z.

Rank 5 in this view

82.0

Dynasty Rating

1572

Raw historical ELO

Dynasty Rating

Metric guide

Dynasty Rating

What it means

A 100-point career score built from titles, win rate, playoff appearances, seasons played, and historical ELO.

How to read it

Higher rewards sustained success.

Methodology detail

Titles × 18, win percentage × 35, playoff appearances × 3, seasons × 1.2, plus one point for each ten ELO points above 1400; capped at 100.

ELO

Metric guide

ELO

What it means

A power rating that updates after every completed matchup. Beating a higher-rated manager helps more.

How to read it

Higher is better. It uses completed league history only.

Methodology detail

Every manager starts at 1500. Ratings update chronologically with a K-factor of 24 and a 400-point logistic expectation; margin of victory does not affect the result.

Open manager career

Mitch P.

Rank 6 in this view

73.8

Dynasty Rating

1625

Raw historical ELO

Dynasty Rating

Metric guide

Dynasty Rating

What it means

A 100-point career score built from titles, win rate, playoff appearances, seasons played, and historical ELO.

How to read it

Higher rewards sustained success.

Methodology detail

Titles × 18, win percentage × 35, playoff appearances × 3, seasons × 1.2, plus one point for each ten ELO points above 1400; capped at 100.

ELO

Metric guide

ELO

What it means

A power rating that updates after every completed matchup. Beating a higher-rated manager helps more.

How to read it

Higher is better. It uses completed league history only.

Methodology detail

Every manager starts at 1500. Ratings update chronologically with a K-factor of 24 and a 400-point logistic expectation; margin of victory does not affect the result.

Open manager career

Skill vs luck

Scoring strength versus schedule results

Skill

Metric guide

Skill

What it means

Your percentile in All-Play performance.

How to read it

An 80 means your weekly scoring was stronger than about 80% of the comparison group.

Methodology detail

Fantasy Archive percentile-ranks All-Play percentage within the displayed completed-history cohort; ties use their midpoint rank.

Wins Above Expected

Metric guide

Wins Above Expected

What it means

Actual wins minus All-Play expected wins.

How to read it

Positive means your schedule helped; negative means it hurt.

Methodology detail

Ties count as half a win. Lucky and unlucky career labels normalize the total to a 13-game season.

Brandon C.

Above-median skill · positive WAE

100.0

Skill percentile

+2.7

Wins Above Expected

Actual record97-63-1Expected wins94.8All-Play58.9%Points/game123.6

Mitch P.

Above-median skill · positive WAE

93.3

Skill percentile

+1.1

Wins Above Expected

Actual record87-74Expected wins85.9All-Play53.4%Points/game119.4

Sam D.

Above-median skill · positive WAE

86.7

Skill percentile

+8.6

Wins Above Expected

Actual record93-68Expected wins84.4All-Play52.4%Points/game119.2

Tyler C.

Above-median skill · negative WAE

73.3

Skill percentile

-2.0

Wins Above Expected

Actual record61-60-1Expected wins63.5All-Play52.1%Points/game118.9

Chris W.

Above-median skill · positive WAE

66.7

Skill percentile

+6.5

Wins Above Expected

Actual record88-72-1Expected wins82.0All-Play50.9%Points/game117.4

Russ R.

Above-median skill · negative WAE

60.0

Skill percentile

-6.5

Wins Above Expected

Actual record62-73Expected wins68.6All-Play50.8%Points/game118.7

Metric leaders

Different ways to dominate

All-Play

Metric guide

All-Play

What it means

Each week's score is compared with every other team that week.

How to read it

Higher means your weekly scoring would beat more of the league.

Methodology detail

A tie counts as half a win. Only completed regular-season weeks enter the comparison.

Expected Wins

Metric guide

Expected Wins

What it means

The wins your weekly scoring would expect if you faced the full league each week.

How to read it

It comes from All-Play results, not projections.

Methodology detail

Each week's All-Play win share is summed across the selected season or career.

Wins Above Expected

Metric guide

Wins Above Expected

What it means

Actual wins minus All-Play expected wins.

How to read it

Positive means your schedule helped; negative means it hurt.

Methodology detail

Ties count as half a win. Lucky and unlucky career labels normalize the total to a 13-game season.

Strength of Schedule

Metric guide

Strength of Schedule

What it means

The average points scored by the opponents you faced in completed games.

How to read it

Higher means you faced higher-scoring opponents.

ELO

Metric guide

ELO

What it means

A power rating that updates after every completed matchup. Beating a higher-rated manager helps more.

How to read it

Higher is better. It uses completed league history only.

Methodology detail

Every manager starts at 1500. Ratings update chronologically with a K-factor of 24 and a 400-point logistic expectation; margin of victory does not affect the result.

Lineup Efficiency

Metric guide

Lineup Efficiency

What it means

The share of known positive roster points that came from starters.

How to read it

It appears only when lineup data is complete and is not an optimal-lineup score.

Methodology detail

Verified starter points are divided by verified positive roster points only when every included team-week reconciles completely.

Scoring Volatility

Metric guide

Scoring Volatility

What it means

How much a manager's completed-game scores moved around.

How to read it

Lower means steadier weekly scoring.

Methodology detail

Population standard deviation of the manager's completed-game scores.

Transparent by design

How the numbers work

01

All-Play compares every team score with every other team score in the same regular-season week.

02

Skill is the 0–100 percentile rank of All-Play win percentage for the selected career or season cohort; All-Play record, points per game, and lineup efficiency remain visible beneath it.

03

Expected wins sums each weekly All-Play win share; Wins Above Expected is actual win equivalents (a tie counts as half a win) minus expected wins.

04

Wins Above Expected labels normalize the win difference to a 13-game season, so career length does not inflate the label.

05

ELO begins at 1500 and updates chronologically with a K-factor of 24.

06

Lineup efficiency is positive exact starter output divided by known positive roster output from completed weekly snapshots. It is unavailable when a starter score is missing or conflicting; missing bench scoring is omitted rather than treated as zero.

07

Historical roster capability is classified before ownership, starts, bench usage, rostered scoring, or lineup efficiency is computed. Full-roster and verified-starter-only evidence remain distinct; starter appearances never imply bench, IR, ownership tenure, or optimal-lineup history.

08

Exact weekly player scoring availability is tracked separately from player/team association availability. A season can retain verified league results and identifiable player scoring while ownership and lineup analytics remain explicitly unavailable.

09

For shared teams, ESPN's primary owner receives indivisible statistical attribution for wins, losses, points, championships, rivalries, Skill vs Luck, Draft DNA, Record Book, and Lab metrics. Co-owners retain season and franchise participation without duplicating team results or league totals.

10

Draft DNA uses completed archive picks only. Keeper slots are counted but excluded from positional tendency rates; unresolved player positions are labeled rather than inferred.

11

ESPN team defenses are resolved only when the recurring negative source ID matches the documented -(16000 + pro team ID) convention; unresolved identities remain unavailable and do not create player profile pages.

12

Single-team postseason schedule rows without an opponent are playoff byes, not head-to-head games, and are excluded from game and rivalry totals.

13

Draft descriptors use fixed evidence thresholds: 50% for early RB/WR identity, Round 5 or earlier for aggressive QB/TE labels, Round 8+ for late QB, Round 9+ for late TE, and at least three repeated players plus an 8% repeat rate for loyalty.

14

Dynasty Rating blends championships, win rate, playoff appearances, longevity, and historical ELO from completed seasons on a 100-point scale.